In Tashkent (6-7 December 2023) UNDP Department of Environment and Climate Action Cluster (ECA) organized a training workshop "Approaches to assessing the risk of mudflow and socio-economic and environmental risks associated with mudflow and flood activity" and conducted with the participation of expert Dr. E.A. Talanov (NAO Al-Farabi KazNU). According to a report by the UN Secretary-General, the number of countries with national disaster risk reduction strategies has increased from 55 in 2015 to 126 in 2022, with 102 countries reporting having risk reduction strategies at the local government level. The UN's ambitious action plan aims to protect every person on Earth no later than five years from now through early warning systems as part of the Early Warning for All initiative.

The main objectives of the training were:

- Providing understanding of the significance of climate change on the recurrence of dangerous hydrometeorological phenomena;

- familiarization with the results of identified spatial and temporal patterns of hydrometeorological processes in the mountainous areas of Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan;

- familiarization with experience in forecasting variability of meteorological (air temperature, precipitation) and hydrological (water discharge and volume) characteristics for representative basins;

- mastering of perspective approaches of quantitative assessment of the degree of potential natural hazard taking into account the probability of its occurrence and destructive power;

- communicating the purpose of assessing the vulnerability of an object from a hazardous phenomenon and interpreting the socio-economic risk of average losses (damage);

- ensuring high efficiency of training.

The training demonstrated the sequence of stages of forecasting natural hazards and possible consequences, criteria of the primary phenomenon - heavy rainfall (probabilistic characteristics of quantity, duration, intensity) and spatial distribution of isolines of daily sums of liquid precipitation, recurrence on average once in 100 years. Examples of evaluation of the index of reduced losses, distribution of indicators of erosion factors and mudflows of different destructive force caused by rainfall, interpretation of the relationship between the indicators of natural, socio-economic capital (lgY) and safety of geo-ecosystems (r), as well as the construction (legend) of a small-scale map of ecological and economic risk under the influence of erosion processes (mudflows) on the territory of Almaty region are considered.